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Book Retailing - UK


Published Date: August 2007
Published By: Mintel International Group Ltd.
Page Count: 167
Order Code: R560-2813
 
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Issues in the Market
Main themes:
Definition
Abbreviations
Market in Brief
Book sales growing but value diluted by discounting
Factors influencing growth in sales
Where people buy books
How people are buying books
Technology creating new opportunities for growth
Future prospects for the market
Industry Insights
The sales picture
Segment performances vary
Children are the future
Lower prices stimulate hardback market
Academic sales vulnerable
Growth potential in audio books
Media coverage usually positive
Discounting - the price squeeze on booksellers
Boy wizard fuels discounting fever
Discounting - restricting choice?
Supply-side pressures also a factor
Publishers hold the reins
Resisting the pull of low prices
Advantages of independence
Independents can offer something special
Moving promotion away from price
Retailer prospects
Multiples stuck in a price war
Mixed fate for independent bookshops
Internal Market Environment
Key points:
Book reading and purchasing
Figure 1: Book reading and purchasing behaviour, 2002-06
Who reads and shops for books?
Figure 2: Demographic analysis of consumers who read a book, bought a book, and visited a bookshop in the past 3 months, 2006
Book pricing
Figure 3: Average book prices*, hardback and paperback, March 2003-March 2007
Online book buying
Figure 4: Most popular products actually purchased online in the past three months, November 2002-February 2007
New technology
Google presents ‘all the world’s information’
Microsoft takes the moral high ground
‘Search Inside’ with Amazon
Publishers rush to digitise their catalogues
E-books and reading devices
‘iPod for books’ required
Audio books may turn into e-books
Print on demand
Use of public libraries
Figure 5: UK public library stocks, issues, borrowers and visits, 2000/01-2005/06
Figure 6: UK public libraries: books, borrowers and visits, index, 2000/01-2005/06
Reading groups and clubs
Inspiring new readers
New releases and book awards
Awards act as a guide to quality
Influence of the media
The ‘Richard & Judy’ effect
Books as a social oil
Broader Market Environment
Key points:
Economic factors broadly favourable
Figure 7: Consumer expenditure and PDI, at current and constant 2002 prices, 2002-12
Interest rate rises aim to curb spending
Growth in female employment could benefit book sales
Figure 8: UK employment and unemployment, 2002-12
More travel provides more reading opportunities
Figure 9: Domestic public transport usage, by mode of transport, 1995/96-2005/06
Figure 10: International travel, by mode of transport, 1991-2005
The rise and rise of the ABC1s
Figure 11: UK adult population, by socio-economic group, 2002-12
The mature reader is key to the market
Figure 12: Structure of the UK population, by age, 2002-12
Growth in Higher Education promotes reading
Figure 13: Students in Higher Education, by level of study, 2001/02-2005/06
Market in Context
Key points:
Retail sales data
Sales through bookshops down in current terms
Figure 14: All retail sales and sales through specialists in books, newspapers and periodicals, at current and constant 2000 prices, 2000-06
Bookshops take a declining share of retail sales
Figure 15: Sales of books, newspapers & periodicals as percentage of all retail sales, at current prices, 2000-06
No Harry Potter magic for booksellers
Consumer spending data
Figure 16: Consumer expenditure on books, at current and constant 2002 prices, 2002-06
Spending on books compared to other recreational spending
Figure 17: Consumer expenditure* on recreation and culture (£ million inc. VAT), at current prices, 2002-06
Figure 18: Consumer expenditure on books, newspapers and periodicals, recording media, and games, toys and hobbies, index at current prices, 2002-06
Strengths and Weaknesses in the Market
Strengths
Weaknesses
Market Size and Forecast
Key points:
Sales grow but margins tighten
Figure 19: UK printed book sales and forecast, at current and constant 2007 prices, 2002-2012
Audiobook sales low but building
Figure 20: UK sales of audiobooks and forecast, by value, 2002-2012
Factors used in the forecasts
Seasonal trends
Future prospects
More channels for book sales
Online bookselling will develop further
New formats and devices
Economic and demographic prospects remain good
Where They Buy Books
Key findings
Outlets used for buying books
WH Smith and Waterstone’s vie for top spot
Figure 21: Outlets used for buying books, April 2007
Book buying - trend data
WH Smith and Woolworths losing out
Tesco grows books penetration
Second-hand channels show highest growth
Online outlets becoming more popular
Figure 22: Trends in outlets used for buying books, March 2005 and April 2007
Who are the book buyers?
Older and AB book buyers prefer specialists
Figure 23: Outlets used for buying books in the last 12 months, by gender, age and socio-economic group, April 2007
Waterstone’s and Ottakar’s share similar customer profile
Prosperous urbanites prefer Borders
ABC1 third agers are keen Amazon shoppers
Supermarkets also win some
Figure 24: Outlets used for buying books in the last 12 months, by ABC1 third age and ABC1 retired Special Groups, April 2007
Supermarket success damaging Woolworths
Time-pressed family shoppers like supermarkets
Sainsbury’s book buyers more akin to those of specialists
Asda converts food shoppers to book buyers
Figure 25: Proportion of shoppers that bought books at their regular supermarket in the last 12 months, March 2005 and April 2007
Figure 26: Outlets used for buying books in the last 12 months, by gender, age and socio-economic group, April 2007
Second-hand sources popular among ABC1s and over-55s
Amazon outshines other home shopping channels
Figure 27: Outlets used for buying books in the last 12 months, by gender, age and socio-economic group, April 2007
Where do younger readers go for books?
Figure 28: Outlets used for buying books in the last 12 months, by ABC1 pre-/no family and ABC1 family Special Groups, April 2007
Number of different retailers used for book buying
Figure 29: Repertoire of stores used to buy books, April 2007
Where They Buy Books - Detailed Consumer Demographics
Figure 30: Outlets used for buying books in the last 12 months, by lifestage, presence of children, Mintel’s Special Groups, working status, region, ACORN categories, media usage, commercial TV viewing and supermarket used, April 2007
Figure 31: Outlets used for buying books in the last 12 months, by lifestage, presence of children, Mintel’s Special Groups, working status, region, ACORN categories, media usage, commercial TV viewing and supermarket used, April 2007
Figure 32: Outlets used for buying books in the last 12 months, by lifestage, presence of children, Mintel’s Special Groups, working status, region, ACORN categories, media usage, commercial TV viewing and supermarket used, April 2007
Channels of Distribution
Key points
Specialists dominate the book market
Figure 62: UK sales of books by channel, by value, 2005 and 2007
Specialists
Suffer little independents
Grocery multiples
Home shopping channels
Other channels
New entrants
Outlet numbers
Figure 63: Outlet numbers, book*, newspaper and stationery retailers, 1999-2005
Retail Competitor Analysis
Key points
Competition for keen readers
Varying strategies on space and range
Building the online channel
Adding family appeal
High street havens for budget shoppers
Figure 73: Leading book retailers, comparison of range, audience, outlets and strategic direction
Margins diluted by discounting
Figure 74: Leading book retailers, financial performance and market share comparison, 2002 and 2006
Tesco surpasses other supermarkets
Waterstone’s in a challenging position
More space for independents?
Figure 75: Leading book retailers, evaluation of prospects
Retailer Profiles
Waterstone’s
Background
Latest strategic initiatives
Waterstone wants it back
Acquisition of Ottakar’s
HMV also a potential bid target
Financial performance
Interims 2006/07
Christmas sales somewhat better
Preliminary 2007 results
Figure 76: Waterstone’s, financial performance, 2002-06
Ottakar’s integration
Current trading
Store portfolio
Ottakar’s acquisition boosts store estate
Figure 77: Waterstone’s, outlet data, 2002-06
Formats and fascia
New ‘Arndale’ format targets families
Further rationalisation likely?
Recent major store relocation
Retail offering
Greater emphasis on children’s books
Serious but sociable image
Lightening up
Prices coming down
Pressure to ‘dumb down’?
Buying autonomy being restored
Operational issues
Advertising and marketing
Targeting loyal customers
Revamp of customer magazine
Digital marketing
Seasonal promotional focus
E-commerce and home shopping
Strategic evaluation
WH Smith plc
Background
Divestment and demerger
Financial performance
Major structural changes skew the picture
Figure 78: WH Smith plc, financial performance, 2002-06
Sales suffer as margins are strengthened
Dismal Christmas due to High Street slump
Interim sales down but profits up
Store portfolio
Figure 79: WH Smith plc, outlet data, 2002-06
Distinct formats and sizes
En route to sales growth?
Specialist format development
Use of space is key to High Street progress
Travel stores rebalanced and refitted
Retail offering
Remixing for better margins
Range authority is a key priority
Product mix for busy travellers
Operational issues
Advertising and marketing
Discounting to stimulate Christmas spend
Fewer profit-damaging promotions
Loyalty card to encourage repeat visits
E-commerce and home shopping
Strategic evaluation
Borders
Background
Financial performance
Figure 80: Borders UK Limited, financial performance, 2002-06
Store portfolio
Latest store numbers
Recent store openings
Figure 81: Borders UK, outlet data, 2002-06
Two distinct formats
New ownership on the cards
Retail offering
Ranges tailored to local markets
Store facilities are paramount
Stronger focus on children’s ranges
Operational issues
Advertising and marketing
E-commerce and home shopping
Strategic evaluation
The Works Retail Ltd
Background
Financial performance
Figure 82: The Works Retail Ltd, financial performance, 2002-06
Store portfolio
Figure 83: The Works Retail Ltd, outlet data, 2002-06
Formats and fascia
Retail offering
Interesting stock refreshed often
Low prices and own brands help maintain value
Friendly service a priority
Advertising and marketing
E-commerce and home shopping
Strategic evaluation
Blackwell UK Ltd
Background
Financial performance
Figure 84: Blackwell UK Ltd, financial performance, 2002-06
Store portfolio
Figure 85: Blackwell UK Ltd, outlet data, 2002-06
Academic and specialist outlets
Recent openings
New model format
Retail offering
Academic range plus local flavour
Operational issues
Advertising and marketing
E-commerce and home shopping
Strategic evaluation
John Smith & Son
Background
Financial performance
Figure 86: John Smith & Son Group Limited, financial performance, 2002-06
Store portfolio
Two historic brands
New openings, new format
Latest store developments
Figure 87: John Smith & Son, outlet data, 2002-06
Retail offering
Operational issues
Advertising and marketing
E-commerce and home shopping
Strategic evaluation
British Bookshops & Stationers
Background
Financial performance
Figure 88: British Bookshops & Stationers Limited, financial performance, 2002-06
Store portfolio
Figure 89: British Bookshops & Stationers Limited, outlet data, 2002-06
Retail offering
Operational issues
E-commerce and home shopping
Strategic evaluation
Other specialist multiples
Specialist independents
Non-specialists
Tesco
Overview
Retail offering in books
Online offer much wider
Rapid expansion in book sales
Book pricing
Promotional methods
Recent developments
Asda
Overview
Retail offering in books
Recent focus on children’s chart titles
No online books channel
Promotion aimed at young book buyers
Recent developments
J Sainsbury
Overview
Retail offering in books
Higher sales after more books promotion
Recent developments
Other supermarkets
Department and variety stores
Other non-specialists
Online and direct sellers
Amazon UK
Background
Financial performance
Figure 90: Amazon UK, sales performance, 2002-06
Retail offering
Pricing and promotions
Website facilities for book buyers
Improved ‘browseability’
Other technological advances
Expanding product offer
Taking a cut of third party sales
Easy money?
Operational issues
Advertising and marketing
Strategic evaluation
Other online specialists
Bookgiant.co.uk (formerly BOL)
Overview
Retail offering
Recent developments
AbeBooks.co.uk
Overview
Retail offering
Recent developments
Audible.co.uk
Overview
Retail offering
Recent developments
Bookdepository.co.uk
Retail offering
Recent developments
Other online sellers
Direct sellers
BCA Limited (formerly Book Club Associates)
Overview
Retail offering
Recent developments
The Book People
Overview
Retail offering
Other direct sellers
Retail Advertising and Promotion
Advertising spending by bookshops
Figure 91: Main media advertising expenditure by bookshops, ranked by top ten spend, 2002-06
Press advertising dominates
Figure 92: Main monitored retail advertising spending on books, by media category, 2006
Major retail advertising campaigns
Stacks of Xmas offers from WH Smith
Animated alliteration for Waterstone’s
Borders takes softly softly approach
Amazon sets the pricing pace
Price pressure prevails in 2007
Independents get in on the act
Major launches provoke activity
Generic advertising benefits all
Sponsorship increasingly popular
In-store promotion remains important
Other means of promotion

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