China Business Forecast Report Q3 2008: Industry Research Report

China Business Forecast Report Q3 2008

Published Date: June 2008

Published By: Business Monitor International

Page Count: 63

Order Code: R302-3438

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Executive Summary: Challenges Mounting For The Government; Chapter: Political Outlook; SWOT analysis; BMi Political Risk Ratings; Domestic Politics; Political Pressure Continues To Build On Government; Pressure on the Chinese government continues to grow as the build up to the Olympics, inflation, the country’s; exchange rate policy and even natural disasters draw increasing criticism.; Table: China Political Overview; Foreign Policy; Beijing-Tokyo: Smoother Ties, But Obstacles Remain; Chinese President Hu Jintao’s visit to Japan on May bodes well for warmer relations between Asia’s two; main powers, which are increasingly bound together by business and trade.; Chapter: Economic Outlook; SWOT analysis; BMi Economic Risk Ratings; Economic activity; is Growth Really a Telling indicator?; Having slowed for the third consecutive quarter in, we are anticipating economic activity to once again; accelerate in the second quarter of the year as the economy shakes off the ill effects of February’s snow storms.; Table: Economic activity; Monetary Policy; Inflationary Headache Continues To Build; China’s inflationary headache continues to build as consumer and producer prices soar.; Table: Monetary Policy; Exchange Rate Policy; Will% appreciation Be Enough?; We are forecasting the yuan to rise by% against the dollar , but growing domestic imbalances -; largely as a result of the country’s undervalued currency - have prompted speculation that a one-off revaluation; may be in the offing.; Table: Exchange Rate Policy; Regional Polic; Xinjiang: Far From Quiet On The Western Front; Since the China Western Development policy was introduced by the State Council in Janua, the sparsely; populated Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region (commonly referred to as Xinjiang) in the far Northwest of the; country has risen in prominence.; Chapter: Special Report; Business Outlook For Global Frontier Markets; Growing Fast On The new Frontier; Th states that BMI examines in a new report on our online service may make up only a small slice of the; world economy, but they possess characteristics that will see them gain importance in the eyes of investors and; global businesses over the coming years.; Table: Frontier Markets - Key Data and Projections For To Countries; Frontier investment; Potential and Pitfalls; The spectacular macroeconomic performance of frontier markets in recent years has been matched by mildly; successful efforts to deepen capital markets.; Table: GDP Per Capita, US$ (in Order Of % increase); Table: Diversity Through Frontier Markets - Correlation Coefficients Janua-Apr; Table: Frontier Market indices; Regional Overview; From hidden Dragons To Final Frontiers; Laos; neighbouring Economies The Key To Growth; Laos’s GDP growth has been boosted in recent years as neighbours China, Thailand and Vietnam compete; for its natural resources.; Table: Yemen Economic activity; Yemen; huge Potential, But Don’t Bank On GCC Membership; Markets do not come much more frontier than Yemen, and, as would be expected, there is huge potential; for development, with the prospect of eventual GCC membership likely to act a key investment pull.; Table: Democratic Republic Of The Congo - Economic activity; Democratic Republic Of The Congo; Mining industry To Drive Growth; The Democratic Republic of the Congo’s mining industry will be a key driver of growth and is likely to attract; significant levels of FDI, with our real GDP forecasts standing at% and% a, respectively.; Cuba; investment Prospects after Fidel; The accession of a new leadership structure in Cuba has sparked excitement that th-year-old trade; embargo with the US may be lifted and Cuba may move toward market liberalisation.; Table: Cuba Macroeconomic Data and Forecasts; Mongolia; Minerals To Drive Economic Boom; Mongolia is in the midst of a massive resource-led economic boom that should lift GDP growth into the; double digits and underpin robust increases in exports and inflows of foreign investment capital over the; long term.; Table: Mongolia - Economic activity; Chapter: Business Environment; SWOT analysis; BMi Business Environment Risk Ratings; Business Environment Outlook; Table: BMi Business and Operational Risk Ratings; institutions; Table: BMi Legal Framework Ratings; infrastructure; Market Orientation; Table: Asia, FDI Inflows; Table: Top Export Destinations; Table: BMi Trade Ratings; Operational Risk; Chapter: Key Sectors; autos; Table: China autos Sector — historical Data and Forecasts; Petrochemical; Table: Chinese Petrochemicals Sector historical Data & Forecasts