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India’s Mobile Markets: The Next Land Run for Mobile Vendors?


Published Date: July 2006
Published By: The Diffusion Group (TDG Research)
Page Count: 71
Order Code: R662-42
 
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Key Findings
1.0 Introduction
1.1 The Importance of 'New Asia' to Global Telecom
2.0 Methodology
3.0 India's Economic and Telecom Roots
3.1 India's Telecom Map
3.2 Rural vs. Urban
3.3 Fixed Line Communications, Briefly
3.3.1 Issues with Fixed-line Communications, Briefly
4.0 Transition from Fixed to Mobile
4.1 State-Owned to Market-Driven
4.1.1 Formation of the TRAI
4.1.2 Universal Service Access Licenses
4.2 The Rise of Mobile Communications
4.2.1 Political Determinants
4.2.2 Market Determinants
4.2.3 The Social Aspect of Mobile Communications
5.0 Today: A Mobile Giant Awakens
5.1 Important Characteristics of India's Mobile Market
5.1.1 Organic Demand
5.1.2 Government Support
5.1.3 Foreign Direct Investment
5.1.4 Carrier Initiatives
5.2 Reduction in Tariffs
5.3 Importance of Indian Mobile Market to Global Telecom
5.4 The Competing Mobile
5.4.1 General Market Distribution
5.4.2 Carrier Breakdown by Technologies Offered/Pending
5.4.3 CDMA
5.4.4 GSM
5.4.5 3G
5.5 Current Competitive Environment
5.5.1 Low Tariffs to Stimulate Demand
5.5.2 Dismal ARPU
5.5.3 The Dominance of Pre-Paid Calling
5.5.4 The Lifetime Calling Plan
5.6 Handsets, Briefly
5.7 Challenges Still Facing the Market
5.7.1 Levies and Taxes
5.7.2 Quality of Service
5.7.3 Ensuring Healthy Competition
6.0 Profile of Major Mobile Service Providers
6.1 Bharti Airtel, Ltd.
6.2 BSNL
6.3 Hutch
6.4 Reliance Infocomm
6.5 Tata Teleservices
7.0 Tomorrow: A Global Powerhouse 2006-2010
7.1 Mobile Infrastructure
7.2 Mobile Services
7.2.1 Voice Services
7.2.2 Value-Added Services
7.3 Forecast Assumptions
7.3.1 Political Assumptions
7.3.2 Market Assumptions
7.4 Forecasts (2006-2010)
7.4.1 Mobile Subscribers 2006-2010
7.4.2 ARPU
7.4.3 Total Revenue
7.4.4 Conclusion
7.4.5 Disclaimers


Appendix-Licenses for Telecom Service in India (Cellular, Fixed and Unified)
Preliminary List of Figures


Figure 1. India's Telecom Market Growth: Fixed & Wireless, March 2004-April 2006
Figure 2. Map of India and Service Provider Circle Breakdown
Figure 3. Estimated Indian telecom Circle
Figure 4. Indian Mobile Subscriber Distribution by Telecom Circle
Figure 5. Fixed Line Operators & Subscribers in India (as of Dec. 2005, in millions)
Figure 6. India Fixed-line Subscriber Growth (1998-2005)
Figure 7. Fixed-line vs. Mobile Subscriber Growth since 1998
Figure 8. CDMA Subscriber Growth (2001-2005)
Figure 9. Mobile Subscriber Additions by Quarter (in millions)
Figure 10. Mobile Subscriber Growth Rates by Quarter (Q2 2003-Q1 2006)
Figure 11. Cursory List of Manufacturing Facilities by Company
Figure 12. GSM and CDMA Growth (2001-2005)
Figure 13. Trends in Average Minimum Effective Tariff (250 Local Minutes of Outgoing Usage, Postpaid) - June 2003 through June 2005
Figure 14. Current GSM and CDMA Market Share
Figure 15. Major Mobile Operator Subscribers for 2004 & 2005
Figure 16. India Mobile Provider market Share (December 2005)
Figure 17. Breakdown of CDMA Market Share by Operator-2005
Figure 18. GSM Market Share by Operator - 2005
Figure 19. Tariffs of Various Developing Nations
Figure 20. India Mobile GSM ARPU (September 2004 - March 2006)
Figure 21. 2005 Quarterly CDMA ARPU
Figure 22. GSM - Pre-paid vs. Post-paid through Sept. 2005 (in millions)
Figure 23. GSM - Pre-paid vs. Post-paid ARPU
Figure 24. Handset Market Share in India: 2005
Figure 25. India Mobile Handset Sales and Subscriber Additions (2003-2005)
Figure 26. India GSM Handset Market Share: 2005
Figure 27. India CDMA Handset Market Share: 2005
Figure 28. Taxes & Licensing Fees - Pakistan, Sri Lanka, China and India
Figure 29. Summary of Confirmed and Rumored Infrastructure Upgrades 2006-2009
Figure 30. 3G Subscribers through 2010 (including CDMA 2000 1x-EV-DO)
Figure 31. TRAI Mobile Subscriber Projection through 2008
Figure 32. Penetration Rates by Telecom Circle (2004 to 2006)
Figure 33. Mobile Penetration Theoretical Numbers by Circle (subscribers in millions)
Figure 34. Penetration Rate Projections Based on Current Growth (2006-2010)
Figure 35. China Mobile Market Growth, Cumulative and Monthly (2001-2005)
Figure 36. India Mobile Market Growth, Average Monthly Additions (2006-2010)
Figure 37. India Mobile Market Subscribers (2001-2010)
Figure 38. India Mobile Market - Average revenue per Subscriber (2006-2010)
Figure 39. India Mobile Market - Total Revenue (2006-2010)

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